Free MLB Picks - December 31, 2025
Advanced XGBoost predictions with Expected Value analysis
Last Updated: 2025-12-31 14:17:54 EST
📋 How to Use This Page
🎯 Confidence Levels
Each game is rated HIGH, MEDIUM, or LOW confidence based on our model's certainty. Focus on higher confidence picks for better results.
💰 Expected Value (EV)
Green EV percentages show mathematically profitable bets. Positive EV means our model gives you an edge over the sportsbook.
📊 Team Stats
Click any team name to see detailed season statistics, recent form, and advanced metrics in a popup window.
🏷️ Signal Tags
Colored tags show our strongest recommendations: HOME FAV, AWAY FAV, OVER 8.5, F5 OVER, and +EV opportunities.
💰 Expected Value (EV) Betting Today
Expected Value betting is a mathematical approach that identifies bets where the odds offer better payouts than the true probability suggests. A positive EV bet means you have a long-term advantage over the sportsbook.
🎯 How EV Works:
Positive EV (+2% or higher): Our model believes the true probability is higher than what the odds suggest. These are mathematically profitable bets over time.
Negative EV: The sportsbook has the advantage on this bet. Avoid these.
Example: If our model gives a team a 60% chance to win, but the odds imply only 55% chance, that's a +EV opportunity.
🤖 XGBoost Model with Expected Value Analysis
Advanced machine learning algorithm analyzing 50+ factors plus real-time DraftKings odds to identify profitable betting opportunities
Disclaimer: Expected Value calculations are for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always bet responsibly and within your means.
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